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Baly AI
Baly AI
Open
LIVE ON BASE MAINNET

prediction markets
in one chat.

Baly is an autonomous AI agent that unifies Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and TrueMarkets. It catches cross-venue arbitrage, mirrors insider wallets, reacts to news in seconds and executes through your non-custodial smart wallet — all from natural language.

PolymarketKalshiLimitlessTrueMarkets
venues unified
4
markets covered
37+
avg arb spread
4.2%
execution latency
< 4s
baly.xyz — agent terminal
LIVE
user
find arb "trump 2028" between polymarket and kalshi, execute if spread > 3%
agent · scanning 4 venues
polymarket Polymarket
YES @ $0.621
kalshi Kalshi
YES @ $0.578
spread
+4.3¢ · APR 312%
✓ executed: buy YES @ kalshi 1,200 · sell YES @ polymarket 1,200 · locked $51.6 risk-free until 2028-11-07
try: find arb "trump 2028" polymarket vs kalshi >3%copy top-5 polymarket politics wallets, 2% per signalsnipe any yes+no >$1.02 on limitlessyes on "Fed cuts rates June" if odds <0.55 and macro_doom posts negative
VOLUME ROUTED 24H
ARBS EXECUTED 24H
AGENTS LIVE
WALLETS TRACKED
MARKETS COVERED
TVL
TOTAL ARBS
UNIQUE USERS
VOLUME ROUTED 24H
ARBS EXECUTED 24H
AGENTS LIVE
WALLETS TRACKED
MARKETS COVERED
TVL
TOTAL ARBS
UNIQUE USERS
VOLUME ROUTED 24H
ARBS EXECUTED 24H
AGENTS LIVE
WALLETS TRACKED
MARKETS COVERED
TVL
TOTAL ARBS
UNIQUE USERS
How it works

From wallet to PnL in four steps.

01
Connect

Bind your Coinbase Smart Wallet (Base-native session keys). Generate session key for the Polygon leg. Optionally OAuth Kalshi — keys are encrypted in your browser, never leave the device.

02
Configure

Bring your own AI key (OpenRouter / Anthropic / OpenAI). Add X handles, Farcaster channels and Polymarket wallets you want tracked. Set spend limits and per-venue caps.

03
Command

Type rules in plain English. The agent stays online 24/7, scans markets every 2s, scores signals, and either auto-executes or alerts based on your confidence thresholds.

04
Earn

Net of gas, fees and slippage, the agent reports realised PnL by venue and signal source. Withdraw to your wallet at any time — funds never leave your custody.

Capabilities

An agent that doesn't sleep.

Each capability is a tool the LLM can call. Combine them in chat to build complete autonomous strategies — no code.

Cross-venue arbitrage

Same event, 4 venues, 4 different prices. Baly nets the gas, fees, USD↔USDC spread and time-to-resolution, then fires both legs in one signed batch.

Insider wallet tracking

Top-PnL wallets segmented by politics, sports, crypto, economy. Sybil-clustered, win-rate scored. Mirror entries within seconds of confirmation.

Social signal → trade

Subscribe to X handles, Farcaster channels, Kalshi-twitter. Agent matches posts to events and executes with confidence filters.

News-driven autonomous trades

Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, breaking-news Farcaster feeds. LLM matches headline to event, scores impact, fires before the candle finishes printing.

Natural language commands

Say what you want — "yes on Trump if odds <0.55 and sentiment negative". Baly parses, plans, routes, executes. No GUI required.

Auto-routing across venues

Best price, lowest fees, deepest liquidity. Auto-bridges USDC between Polygon and Base when needed, surfaces net APR not absolute spread.

Non-custodial · hybrid

On-chain via Coinbase Smart Wallet session keys. Kalshi via OAuth + API key encrypted in your browser. Keys never leave your device.

BYOK AI

Bring your own OpenRouter / Anthropic / OpenAI key. Pick tool-capable models. Your data, your model, your spend.

Venues

Where the markets already are.

We don't ask Polymarket or Kalshi to migrate. We meet them where they live and route execution to whoever has the price.

Polymarket
Polymarket
Polygon, on-chain
volume
$2.1B 30d
strong in
Largest volume, politics, sports, crypto, pop culture
constraint
Geo-blocked for US users, USDC on Polygon required
integration
CLOB API + Subgraph indexer
Kalshi
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated CEX
volume
$840M 30d
strong in
US-accessible, economy, weather, election, fed rates
constraint
KYC, USD fiat, no on-chain composability
integration
OAuth + REST/WS API via secure proxy
Limitless
Limitless
Base, on-chain
volume
$58M 30d
strong in
On-chain composability, low gas, niche markets
constraint
Lower per-market liquidity
integration
On-chain Envio indexer + Alchemy RPC
TrueMarkets
TrueMarkets
Base, on-chain
volume
$22M 30d
strong in
Early-stage markets, market-making opportunities
constraint
Lower per-market liquidity
integration
On-chain reads + smart-account routing
Arbitrage taxonomy

Six edges Baly looks for constantly.

Prediction markets are unique: events are binary or multi-outcome, audiences are different, and formulations diverge slightly between venues. Spread persists where it would not in spot or perps.

Cross-venue same event

One event, 2-3 venues, different prices. Buy low, sell high, lock the spread until resolution.

Trump 2028: PM $0.62 vs Kalshi $0.58 → +4¢
Yes + No sum > 1

Within one venue or across venues, YES leg + NO leg > $1 → guaranteed profit.

Limitless: YES $0.52 + NO $0.51 = $1.03
Mutually exclusive sum

In multi-outcome markets, sum of all outcomes < $1 → buy all, guaranteed profit at resolution.

8-outcome election: sum $0.96
Related markets

"Trump wins" on Polymarket vs "Republicans win" on Kalshi — correlation ≈ 1, prices may diverge.

PM 0.61 ↔ Kalshi 0.66
Resolution arb

Event already de-facto resolved (news landed), market hasn't caught up yet. Window: seconds to minutes.

AP call → market lag 4-90s
Market making

On thin Base markets, quote both sides, capture bid-ask, hedge net delta on Polymarket / Kalshi.

Limitless spread 2¢, hedge PM
Live network

The agent network is running right now.

streaming · base mainnet
Live arbitrage opportunities
6s scan
Scanning all 4 venues…
Agent activity
realtime
Awaiting events…
Positioning

Why not just use polymarket?

Baly is built for one job: routing capital across the entire prediction-market stack faster than a human can. Different from a venue, different from a scanner, different from a general AI agent.

vs
their limit
baly
Polymarket UI
One venue, no scanner, no auto-routing.
Meta-aggregator across 4 venues with arbitrage and auto-routing.
Kalshi native
US-only, no on-chain composability.
Bridges Kalshi pricing into the crypto-native flow you already use.
Polymarket whale trackers
They display data.
Baly executes on the data — automatically, with filters.
Manual arb traders
Don't scale, miss resolution arb.
Agent at 24/7 across hundreds of markets at sub-4s latency.
General trading AI agents
Built for perps/spot, not binary resolution markets.
Specialised: binary pricing, resolution windows, multi-venue ID matching.